Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.916739 1.032431 1.158650 1.306827 1.476332 1.664549 1.889877
2025-01-19 0.704938 0.853214 1.028380 1.251578 1.529835 1.867127 2.309719
2025-01-26 0.618138 0.784850 0.992561 1.272364 1.642449 2.119364 2.787230
2025-02-02 0.557637 0.736125 0.968391 1.295966 1.751148 2.368772 3.283056
2025-02-09 0.506203 0.690634 0.939683 1.305048 1.834908 2.587013 3.756341
2025-02-16 0.463649 0.651207 0.912899 1.310521 1.909693 2.795575 4.235967
2025-02-23 0.433577 0.625427 0.901297 1.334337 2.010682 3.049797 4.812754
2025-03-02 0.393058 0.580085 0.856080 1.301694 2.019724 3.160625 5.170401
2025-03-09 0.372545 0.562455 0.850046 1.327699 2.121969 3.427888 5.818590
2025-03-16 0.345552 0.532268 0.821559 1.314268 2.156957 3.585737 6.294151
2025-03-23 0.327166 0.513908 0.809789 1.326338 2.234735 3.822738 6.939948
2025-03-30 0.304633 0.486945 0.781644 1.307695 2.256346 3.961404 7.416951
2025-04-06 0.285557 0.464588 0.759916 1.299159 2.296938 4.142250 8.007719
2025-04-13 0.259977 0.429453 0.713961 1.243737 2.246197 4.147072 8.246503
2025-04-20 0.249649 0.419545 0.710473 1.264432 2.339825 4.438365 9.118883
2025-04-27 0.240595 0.411097 0.708723 1.287865 2.440591 4.754313 10.089160
2025-05-04 0.230118 0.399296 0.699927 1.296885 2.513239 5.020359 10.986277
2025-05-11 0.219977 0.387339 0.689852 1.302320 2.578737 5.278085 11.901546
2025-05-18 0.213019 0.380707 0.689104 1.325971 2.684263 5.633713 13.104584
2025-05-25 0.199499 0.360873 0.661863 1.293554 2.666546 5.713459 13.636847
2025-06-01 0.194008 0.355904 0.662864 1.319379 2.778400 6.100383 15.012915
2025-06-08 0.184384 0.342316 0.645981 1.306041 2.801219 6.281734 15.875933
2025-06-15 0.178216 0.335070 0.641162 1.318027 2.882797 6.612661 17.198314